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Sikt Intelligence AI superforecasting from Oslo

Tomorrow’s headlines, before they happen.

AI forecasting for the world’s biggest events: Sikt’s AI Superforecaster puts an honest probability on every one. Scroll to see what it sees.

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Predictions14 events

Predictions (illustrative odds)

Von der Leyen and Putin meet in person before 2028? Sikt 9%, market 17%. Resolves Dec 31, 2027. Geopolitics.
China lands astronauts on the Moon before 2030? Sikt 58%, market 46%. Resolves Dec 31, 2029. Space.
Trump visits Greenland before the end of 2027? Sikt 27%, market 35%. Resolves Dec 31, 2027. Geopolitics.
The leaders of North and South Korea meet before 2028? Sikt 14%, market 11%. Resolves Dec 31, 2027. Geopolitics.
Humanoid robots deliver packages in New York before 2029? Sikt 24%, market 35%. Resolves Dec 31, 2028. AI & Tech.
A datacenter runs in orbit before 2030? Sikt 34%, market 29%. Resolves Dec 31, 2029. AI & Tech.
Snow falls on Miami Beach before 2030? Sikt 2%, market 3%. Resolves Dec 31, 2029. Climate.
A wildfire forces evacuations in the Paris region before 2030? Sikt 17%, market 9%. Resolves Dec 31, 2029. Climate.
OpenAI’s Stargate reaches 10 GW of computing power before 2029? Sikt 31%, market 38%. Resolves Dec 31, 2028. AI & Tech.
The S&P 500 closes above 10,000 before 2030? Sikt 36%, market 44%. Resolves Dec 31, 2029. Markets.
Bitcoin trades above $150,000 before the end of 2026? Sikt 27%, market 33%. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Markets.
US astronauts land on the Moon before 2028? Sikt 41%, market 52%. Resolves Dec 31, 2027. Space.
Driverless taxis carry paying passengers in London before 2027? Sikt 48%, market 40%. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. AI & Tech.
An AI system is credited in a Nobel Prize before 2030? Sikt 12%, market 7%. Resolves Dec 31, 2029. AI & Tech.

From the blog

How honest forecasts work.

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AI forecastingAI forecasting, explained

MethodsThe Brier score, explained

MarketsHow prediction markets work

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