Odds
The odds on the world’s biggest events.
Live prediction market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, side by side, with 90 days of history. Updated Nov 4, 2026, 06:32 UTC.
Elections2028 Democratic nominee oddsJon Ossoff wins the nominationKalshi 20%Polymarket 26%Elections2028 presidential election odds: who will win?Jon Ossoff wins in 2028Kalshi 18%Polymarket 18%Elections2028 Republican nominee oddsJ.D. Vance wins the nominationKalshi 30%Polymarket 31%Elections2026 midterm election odds: House and SenateDemocrats win the HousePolymarket >99%CryptoBitcoin price odds for the end of 2026Most likely year-end range: 75,000 to 79,999.99Kalshi 17%ScienceWill the US confirm that aliens exist? Market oddsUS confirms aliens exist before 2027Polymarket 2.9%EconomicsFed rate odds: cut, hold or hike?December FOMC: 25 bps increasePolymarket 76%GeopoliticsTrump and Greenland: will the US acquire Greenland?US acquires Greenland before 2027Kalshi 2.5%Polymarket 2%GeopoliticsChina–Taiwan invasion oddsChina invades Taiwan by the end of 2026Polymarket 1.8%GeopoliticsPutin out odds: will Putin leave power?Putin out by the end of 2026Polymarket 1.7%GeopoliticsUS–Iran nuclear deal oddsUS–Iran nuclear deal before 2027Kalshi 8.9%Polymarket 12%EconomicsUS recession odds for 2026 and 2027US recession in 2026Kalshi 6.5%Polymarket 5.5%
Market data from the public Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, shown for information only. Sikt Intelligence is not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Not financial or investment advice.