Odds
The odds on the world’s biggest events.
Live prediction market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, side by side, with 90 days of history. Updated Sep 29, 2026, 07:43 UTC.
Elections2028 Democratic nominee oddsAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the nominationKalshi 14%Polymarket 19%Elections2028 presidential election odds: who will win?JD Vance wins in 2028Kalshi 20%Polymarket 21%Elections2028 Republican nominee oddsJ.D. Vance wins the nominationKalshi 44%Polymarket 51%CryptoBitcoin price odds for the end of 2026Most likely year-end range: 80,000 to 84,999.99Kalshi 14%ScienceWill the US confirm that aliens exist? Market oddsUS confirms aliens exist before 2027Kalshi 4.5%Polymarket 3.5%EconomicsFed rate odds: cut, hold or hike?October FOMC: 25 bps increasePolymarket 68%Elections2026 midterm election odds: House and SenateDemocrats win the HouseKalshi 91%Polymarket 92%GeopoliticsTrump and Greenland: will the US acquire Greenland?US acquires Greenland before 2027Kalshi 4%Polymarket 2.7%GeopoliticsChina–Taiwan invasion oddsChina invades Taiwan by the end of 2026Polymarket 3.5%GeopoliticsUS–Iran nuclear deal oddsUS–Iran nuclear deal before 2027Kalshi 14%Polymarket 14%GeopoliticsPutin out odds: will Putin leave power?Putin out by the end of 2026Polymarket 2.9%EconomicsUS recession odds for 2026 and 2027US recession in 2026Kalshi 5.5%Polymarket 8.5%
Market data from the public Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, shown for information only. Sikt Intelligence is not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Not financial or investment advice.